Non Stationary Fuzzy Time Series - NSFTS

pyFTS/chen.py

@@ -14,6 +14,9 @@ class ConventionalFLRG(object):
     def __init__(self, LHS):
         self.LHS = LHS
         self.RHS = set()
+        self.midpoint = None
+        self.lower = None
+        self.upper = None
 
     def append(self, c):
         self.RHS.add(c)

pyFTS/common/FLR.py

@@ -36,20 +36,6 @@ class IndexedFLR(FLR):
         return str(self.index) + ": "+ self.LHS.name + " -> " + self.RHS.name
 
 
-def generateNonRecurrentFLRs(fuzzyData):
-    """
-    Create a ordered FLR set from a list of fuzzy sets without recurrence
-    :param fuzzyData: ordered list of fuzzy sets
-    :return: ordered list of FLR 
-    """
-    flrs = {}
-    for i in range(2,len(fuzzyData)):
-        tmp = FLR(fuzzyData[i-1],fuzzyData[i])
-        flrs[str(tmp)] = tmp
-    ret = [value for key, value in flrs.items()]
-    return ret
-
-
 def generateRecurrentFLRs(fuzzyData):
     """
     Create a ordered FLR set from a list of fuzzy sets with recurrence
@@ -58,10 +44,32 @@ def generateRecurrentFLRs(fuzzyData):
     """
     flrs = []
     for i in np.arange(1,len(fuzzyData)):
-        flrs.append(FLR(fuzzyData[i-1],fuzzyData[i]))
+        lhs = fuzzyData[i - 1]
+        rhs = fuzzyData[i]
+        if isinstance(lhs, list) and isinstance(rhs, list):
+            for l in lhs:
+                for r in rhs:
+                    tmp = FLR(l, r)
+                    flrs.append(tmp)
+        else:
+            tmp = FLR.FLR(lhs,rhs)
+            flrs.append(tmp)
     return flrs
 
 
+def generateNonRecurrentFLRs(fuzzyData):
+    """
+    Create a ordered FLR set from a list of fuzzy sets without recurrence
+    :param fuzzyData: ordered list of fuzzy sets
+    :return: ordered list of FLR
+    """
+    flrs = generateRecurrentFLRs(fuzzyData)
+    tmp = {}
+    for flr in flrs: tmp[str(flr)] = flr
+    ret = [value for key, value in tmp.items()]
+    return ret
+
+
 def generateIndexedFLRs(sets, indexer, data, transformation=None):
     """
     Create a season-indexed ordered FLR set from a list of fuzzy sets with recurrence

pyFTS/nonstationary/common.py

@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, v. 16, n. 4, p. 1072-1086, 2008.
 
 import numpy as np
 from pyFTS import *
-from pyFTS.common import FuzzySet as FS, Membership
+from pyFTS.common import FuzzySet as FS, Membership, FLR
 from pyFTS.partitioners import partitioner
 from pyFTS.nonstationary import perturbation
 
@@ -279,3 +279,30 @@ class PolynomialNonStationaryPartitioner(partitioner.Partitioner):
     def build(self, data):
         pass
 
+
+def fuzzify(inst, t, fuzzySets):
+    """
+    Calculate the membership values for a data point given nonstationary fuzzy sets
+    :param inst: data points
+    :param t: time displacement of the instance
+    :param fuzzySets: list of fuzzy sets
+    :return: array of membership values
+    """
+    ret = []
+    if not isinstance(inst, list):
+        inst = [inst]
+    for t, i in enumerate(inst):
+        mv = np.array([fs.membership(i, t) for fs in fuzzySets])
+        ret.append(mv)
+    return ret
+
+
+def fuzzySeries(data, fuzzySets):
+    fts = []
+    for t, i in enumerate(data):
+        mv = np.array([fs.membership(i, t) for fs in fuzzySets])
+        ix = np.ravel(np.argwhere(mv > 0.0))
+        sets = [fuzzySets[i] for i in ix]
+        fts.append(sets)
+    return fts
+

pyFTS/nonstationary/nsfts.py

@@ -1,12 +1,124 @@
 import numpy as np
 from pyFTS.common import FuzzySet, FLR
-from pyFTS import fts, sfts
+from pyFTS import fts, chen
+from pyFTS.nonstationary import common
 
 
-class NonStationaryFTS(sfts.SeasonalFTS):
+class NonStationaryFLRG(chen.ConventionalFLRG):
+    """First Order NonStationary Fuzzy Logical Relationship Group"""
+    def __init__(self, LHS):
+        super(NonStationaryFLRG, self).__init__(LHS)
+
+    def get_midpoint(self, t):
+        if self.midpoint is None:
+            tmp = []
+            for r in self.RHS:
+                tmp.append(r.get_midpoint(t))
+            self.midpoint = sum(tmp)/len(tmp)
+        return self.midpoint
+
+    def get_lower(self, t):
+        if self.lower is None:
+            tmp = []
+            for r in self.RHS:
+                tmp.append(r.get_midpoint(t))
+            self.lower = min(tmp)
+        return self.lower
+
+    def get_upper(self, t):
+        if self.upper is None:
+            tmp = []
+            for r in self.RHS:
+                tmp.append(r.get_midpoint(t))
+            self.upper = max(tmp)
+        return self.upper
+
+
+class NonStationaryFTS(fts.FTS):
     """NonStationaryFTS Fuzzy Time Series"""
     def __init__(self, name, **kwargs):
         super(NonStationaryFTS, self).__init__(1, "NSFTS " + name, **kwargs)
         self.name = "Non Stationary FTS"
         self.detail = ""
         self.flrgs = {}
+
+    def generateFLRG(self, flrs):
+        flrgs = {}
+        for flr in flrs:
+            if flr.LHS.name in flrgs:
+                flrgs[flr.LHS.name].append(flr.RHS)
+            else:
+                flrgs[flr.LHS.name] = NonStationaryFLRG(flr.LHS)
+                flrgs[flr.LHS.name].append(flr.RHS)
+        return (flrgs)
+
+    def train(self, data, sets=None,order=1,parameters=None):
+
+        if sets is not None:
+            self.sets = sets
+        else:
+            self.sets = self.partitioner.sets
+
+        ndata = self.doTransformations(data)
+        tmpdata = common.fuzzySeries(ndata, self.sets)
+        flrs = FLR.generateNonRecurrentFLRs(tmpdata)
+        self.flrgs = self.generateFLRG(flrs)
+
+    def forecast(self, data, **kwargs):
+
+        time_displacement = kwargs.get("time_displacement",0)
+
+        ndata = np.array(self.doTransformations(data))
+
+        l = len(ndata)
+
+        ret = []
+
+        for k in np.arange(0, l):
+
+            tdisp = k + time_displacement
+
+            affected_sets = [ [set, set.membership(ndata[k], tdisp)]
+                              for set in self.sets if set.membership(ndata[k], tdisp) > 0.0]
+
+            tmp = []
+            for aset in affected_sets:
+                if aset[0] in self.flrgs:
+                    tmp.append(self.flrgs[aset[0].name].get_midpoint(tdisp) * aset[1])
+                else:
+                    tmp.append(aset[0].get_midpoint(tdisp) * aset[1])
+
+            ret.append(sum(tmp))
+
+        ret = self.doInverseTransformations(ret, params=[data[self.order - 1:]])
+
+        return ret
+
+    def forecastInterval(self, data, **kwargs):
+
+        time_displacement = kwargs.get("time_displacement",0)
+
+        ndata = np.array(self.doTransformations(data))
+
+        l = len(ndata)
+
+        ret = []
+
+        for k in np.arange(0, l):
+
+            tdisp = k + time_displacement
+
+            affected_sets = [ [set.name, set.membership(ndata[k], tdisp)]
+                              for set in self.sets if set.membership(ndata[k], tdisp) > 0.0]
+
+            upper = []
+            lower = []
+            for aset in affected_sets:
+                lower.append(self.flrgs[aset[0]].get_lower(tdisp) * aset[1])
+                upper.append(self.flrgs[aset[0]].get_upper(tdisp) * aset[1])
+
+            ret.append([sum(lower), sum(upper)])
+
+        ret = self.doInverseTransformations(ret, params=[data[self.order - 1:]])
+
+        return ret

pyFTS/tests/nonstationary.py

@@ -1,7 +1,8 @@
 import numpy as np
 from pyFTS.common import Membership
-from pyFTS.nonstationary import common,perturbation,util
+from pyFTS.nonstationary import common,perturbation,util,nsfts
 from pyFTS.partitioners import Grid
+import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
 
 
 def generate_heteroskedastic_linear(mu_ini, sigma_ini, mu_inc, sigma_inc, it=10, num=35):
@@ -17,22 +18,26 @@ def generate_heteroskedastic_linear(mu_ini, sigma_ini, mu_inc, sigma_inc, it=10,
 
 lmv1 = generate_heteroskedastic_linear(1,0.1,1,0.3)
 
-
-
 ns = 5 #number of fuzzy sets
 ts = 200
 train = lmv1[:ts]
+test = lmv1[ts:]
 w = 25
 deg = 4
 
+fig, axes = plt.subplots(nrows=1, ncols=1, figsize=[10,5])
 
 tmp_fs = Grid.GridPartitioner(train[:35], 10)
 
 fs = common.PolynomialNonStationaryPartitioner(train, tmp_fs, window_size=35, degree=1)
 
-uod = np.arange(0, 2, step=0.02)
+nsfts1 = nsfts.NonStationaryFTS("", partitioner=fs)
 
-util.plot_sets(uod, fs.sets,tam=[15, 5], start=0, end=10)
+nsfts1.train(train[:35])
 
-for set in fs.sets:
+tmp = nsfts1.forecast(test, time_displacement=200)
-    print(set)
+
+axes.plot(test)
+axes.plot(tmp)
+
+print(tmp)