bugfixes for seasonal FTS
This commit is contained in:
parent
f9d6538bae
commit
88d22a4482
@ -37,7 +37,7 @@ class FTS(object):
|
|||||||
self.sets = self.partitioner.sets
|
self.sets = self.partitioner.sets
|
||||||
self.auto_update = False
|
self.auto_update = False
|
||||||
self.benchmark_only = False
|
self.benchmark_only = False
|
||||||
self.indexer = None
|
self.indexer = kwargs.get("indexer", None)
|
||||||
self.uod_clip = kwargs.get("uod_clip", True)
|
self.uod_clip = kwargs.get("uod_clip", True)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def fuzzy(self, data):
|
def fuzzy(self, data):
|
||||||
|
@ -22,12 +22,12 @@ class ConventionalFLRG(flrg.FLRG):
|
|||||||
self.RHS.add(c)
|
self.RHS.add(c)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __str__(self):
|
def __str__(self):
|
||||||
tmp = self.LHS + " -> "
|
tmp = str(self.LHS) + " -> "
|
||||||
tmp2 = ""
|
tmp2 = ""
|
||||||
for c in sorted(self.RHS, key=lambda s: s):
|
for c in sorted(self.RHS, key=lambda s: s):
|
||||||
if len(tmp2) > 0:
|
if len(tmp2) > 0:
|
||||||
tmp2 = tmp2 + ","
|
tmp2 = tmp2 + ","
|
||||||
tmp2 = tmp2 + c
|
tmp2 = tmp2 + str(c)
|
||||||
return tmp + tmp2
|
return tmp + tmp2
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
@ -13,11 +13,11 @@ class ContextualSeasonalFLRG(sfts.SeasonalFLRG):
|
|||||||
self.RHS = {}
|
self.RHS = {}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def append_rhs(self, flr, **kwargs):
|
def append_rhs(self, flr, **kwargs):
|
||||||
if flr.LHS in self.RHS:
|
if flr.LHS.name in self.RHS:
|
||||||
self.RHS[flr.LHS].append_rhs(flr.RHS)
|
self.RHS[flr.LHS.name].append_rhs(flr.RHS.name)
|
||||||
else:
|
else:
|
||||||
self.RHS[flr.LHS] = chen.ConventionalFLRG(flr.LHS)
|
self.RHS[flr.LHS.name] = chen.ConventionalFLRG(flr.LHS.name)
|
||||||
self.RHS[flr.LHS].append_rhs(flr.RHS)
|
self.RHS[flr.LHS.name].append_rhs(flr.RHS.name)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __str__(self):
|
def __str__(self):
|
||||||
tmp = str(self.LHS) + ": \n "
|
tmp = str(self.LHS) + ": \n "
|
||||||
@ -31,17 +31,17 @@ class ContextualMultiSeasonalFTS(sfts.SeasonalFTS):
|
|||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
Contextual Multi-Seasonal Fuzzy Time Series
|
Contextual Multi-Seasonal Fuzzy Time Series
|
||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
def __init__(self, name, indexer, **kwargs):
|
def __init__(self, **kwargs):
|
||||||
super(ContextualMultiSeasonalFTS, self).__init__("CMSFTS")
|
super(ContextualMultiSeasonalFTS, self).__init__(**kwargs)
|
||||||
self.name = "Contextual Multi Seasonal FTS"
|
self.name = "Contextual Multi Seasonal FTS"
|
||||||
self.shortname = "CMSFTS " + name
|
self.shortname = "CMSFTS "
|
||||||
self.detail = ""
|
self.detail = ""
|
||||||
self.seasonality = 1
|
self.seasonality = 1
|
||||||
self.has_seasonality = True
|
self.has_seasonality = True
|
||||||
self.has_point_forecasting = True
|
self.has_point_forecasting = True
|
||||||
self.is_high_order = True
|
self.is_high_order = True
|
||||||
self.is_multivariate = True
|
self.is_multivariate = True
|
||||||
self.indexer = indexer
|
self.order = 1
|
||||||
self.flrgs = {}
|
self.flrgs = {}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def generate_flrg(self, flrs):
|
def generate_flrg(self, flrs):
|
||||||
@ -61,11 +61,11 @@ class ContextualMultiSeasonalFTS(sfts.SeasonalFTS):
|
|||||||
self.generate_flrg(flrs)
|
self.generate_flrg(flrs)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def get_midpoints(self, flrg, data):
|
def get_midpoints(self, flrg, data):
|
||||||
if data in flrg.flrgs:
|
if data.name in flrg.RHS:
|
||||||
ret = np.array([self.sets[s].centroid for s in flrg.flrgs[data.name].RHS])
|
ret = np.array([self.sets[s].centroid for s in flrg.RHS[data.name].RHS])
|
||||||
return ret
|
return ret
|
||||||
else:
|
else:
|
||||||
return np.array([self.sets[data].centroid])
|
return np.array([self.sets[data.name].centroid])
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def forecast(self, data, **kwargs):
|
def forecast(self, data, **kwargs):
|
||||||
ordered_sets = FuzzySet.set_ordered(self.sets)
|
ordered_sets = FuzzySet.set_ordered(self.sets)
|
||||||
@ -97,3 +97,5 @@ class ContextualMultiSeasonalFTS(sfts.SeasonalFTS):
|
|||||||
ret.append(sum(mp) / len(mp))
|
ret.append(sum(mp) / len(mp))
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return ret
|
return ret
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
@ -7,13 +7,13 @@ S.-M. Chen, “Forecasting enrollments based on fuzzy time series,” Fuzzy Sets
|
|||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import numpy as np
|
import numpy as np
|
||||||
from pyFTS.common import FuzzySet, FLR, fts
|
from pyFTS.common import FuzzySet, FLR, flrg, fts
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
class SeasonalFLRG(FLR.FLRG):
|
class SeasonalFLRG(flrg.FLRG):
|
||||||
"""First Order Seasonal Fuzzy Logical Relationship Group"""
|
"""First Order Seasonal Fuzzy Logical Relationship Group"""
|
||||||
def __init__(self, seasonality):
|
def __init__(self, seasonality):
|
||||||
super(SeasonalFLRG, self).__init__(None,None)
|
super(SeasonalFLRG, self).__init__(1)
|
||||||
self.LHS = seasonality
|
self.LHS = seasonality
|
||||||
self.RHS = []
|
self.RHS = []
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@ -26,10 +26,10 @@ class SeasonalFLRG(FLR.FLRG):
|
|||||||
def __str__(self):
|
def __str__(self):
|
||||||
tmp = str(self.LHS) + " -> "
|
tmp = str(self.LHS) + " -> "
|
||||||
tmp2 = ""
|
tmp2 = ""
|
||||||
for c in sorted(self.RHS, key=lambda s: s.name):
|
for c in sorted(self.RHS, key=lambda s: str(s)):
|
||||||
if len(tmp2) > 0:
|
if len(tmp2) > 0:
|
||||||
tmp2 = tmp2 + ","
|
tmp2 = tmp2 + ","
|
||||||
tmp2 = tmp2 + c.name
|
tmp2 = tmp2 + str(c)
|
||||||
return tmp + tmp2
|
return tmp + tmp2
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __len__(self):
|
def __len__(self):
|
||||||
@ -38,10 +38,11 @@ class SeasonalFLRG(FLR.FLRG):
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
class SeasonalFTS(fts.FTS):
|
class SeasonalFTS(fts.FTS):
|
||||||
"""First Order Seasonal Fuzzy Time Series"""
|
"""First Order Seasonal Fuzzy Time Series"""
|
||||||
def __init__(self, name, **kwargs):
|
def __init__(self, **kwargs):
|
||||||
super(SeasonalFTS, self).__init__(1, "SFTS", **kwargs)
|
super(SeasonalFTS, self).__init__(**kwargs)
|
||||||
self.name = "Seasonal FTS"
|
self.name = "Seasonal FTS"
|
||||||
self.detail = "Chen"
|
self.shortname = "SFTS"
|
||||||
|
self.order = 1
|
||||||
self.seasonality = 1
|
self.seasonality = 1
|
||||||
self.has_seasonality = True
|
self.has_seasonality = True
|
||||||
self.has_point_forecasting = True
|
self.has_point_forecasting = True
|
||||||
@ -62,11 +63,15 @@ class SeasonalFTS(fts.FTS):
|
|||||||
#print(season)
|
#print(season)
|
||||||
self.flrgs[ss].append_rhs(flr.RHS)
|
self.flrgs[ss].append_rhs(flr.RHS)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
def get_midpoints(self, flrg):
|
||||||
|
ret = np.array([self.sets[s].centroid for s in flrg.RHS])
|
||||||
|
return ret
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def train(self, data, **kwargs):
|
def train(self, data, **kwargs):
|
||||||
if kwargs.get('sets', None) is not None:
|
if kwargs.get('sets', None) is not None:
|
||||||
self.sets = kwargs.get('sets', None)
|
self.sets = kwargs.get('sets', None)
|
||||||
tmpdata = FuzzySet.fuzzyfy_series_old(data, self.sets)
|
tmpdata = FuzzySet.fuzzyfy_series_old(data, self.sets)
|
||||||
flrs = FLR.generate_recurrent_flrs(tmpdata)
|
flrs = FLR.generate_non_recurrent_flrs(tmpdata)
|
||||||
self.generate_flrg(flrs)
|
self.generate_flrg(flrs)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def forecast(self, data, **kwargs):
|
def forecast(self, data, **kwargs):
|
||||||
@ -81,7 +86,7 @@ class SeasonalFTS(fts.FTS):
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
flrg = self.flrgs[str(season)]
|
flrg = self.flrgs[str(season)]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
mp = self.getMidpoints(flrg)
|
mp = self.get_midpoints(flrg)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
ret.append(np.percentile(mp, 50))
|
ret.append(np.percentile(mp, 50))
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
@ -8,43 +8,30 @@ import pandas as pd
|
|||||||
from pyFTS.common import Util
|
from pyFTS.common import Util
|
||||||
from pyFTS.benchmarks import benchmarks as bchmk
|
from pyFTS.benchmarks import benchmarks as bchmk
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
os.chdir("/home/petronio/dados/Dropbox/Doutorado/Codigos/")
|
os.chdir("/home/petronio/Downloads")
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
sonda = pd.read_csv("DataSets/SONDA_BSB_MOD.csv", sep=";")
|
data = pd.read_csv("dress_data.csv", sep=",")
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
sonda['data'] = pd.to_datetime(sonda['data'])
|
#sonda['data'] = pd.to_datetime(sonda['data'])
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
sonda = sonda[:][527041:]
|
#data.index = np.arange(0,len(data.index))
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
sonda.index = np.arange(0,len(sonda.index))
|
data = data["a"].tolist()
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
sonda_treino = sonda[:1051200]
|
from pyFTS.models.seasonal import sfts, cmsfts, SeasonalIndexer
|
||||||
sonda_teste = sonda[1051201:]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
ix = SeasonalIndexer.LinearSeasonalIndexer([7],[1])
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#res = bchmk.simpleSearch_RMSE(sonda_treino, sonda_teste,
|
from pyFTS.partitioners import Grid
|
||||||
# sfts.SeasonalFTS,np.arange(3,30),[1],parameters=1440,
|
|
||||||
# tam=[15,8], plotforecasts=False,elev=45, azim=40,
|
|
||||||
# save=False,file="pictures/sonda_sfts_error_surface", intervals=False)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
partitions = ['grid','entropy']
|
fs = Grid.GridPartitioner(data=data,npart=10)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
indexers = ['m15','Mh','Mhm15']
|
model = sfts.SeasonalFTS(indexer=ix, partitioner=fs)
|
||||||
|
#model = cmsfts.ContextualMultiSeasonalFTS(indexer=ix, partitioner=fs)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
models = []
|
model.fit(data)
|
||||||
ixs = []
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
sample = sonda_teste[0:4300]
|
print(model)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
for max_part in [10, 20, 30, 40, 50]:
|
print(model.predict(data))
|
||||||
for part in partitions:
|
|
||||||
for ind in indexers:
|
|
||||||
ix = Util.load_obj("models/sonda_ix_" + ind + ".pkl")
|
|
||||||
model = Util.load_obj("models/sonda_msfts_" + part + "_" + str(max_part) + "_" + ind + ".pkl")
|
|
||||||
model.shortname = part + "_" + str(max_part) + "_" + ind
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
models.append(model)
|
|
||||||
ixs.append(ix)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
print(bchmk.print_point_statistics(sample, models, indexers=ixs))
|
|
Loading…
Reference in New Issue
Block a user