Winkler score
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@ -165,6 +165,7 @@ def sharpness(forecasts):
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return np.mean(tmp)
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return np.mean(tmp)
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def resolution(forecasts):
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def resolution(forecasts):
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"""Resolution - Standard deviation of the intervals"""
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"""Resolution - Standard deviation of the intervals"""
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shp = sharpness(forecasts)
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shp = sharpness(forecasts)
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@ -24,7 +24,7 @@ partitioner = Grid.GridPartitioner(data=dataset[:800], npart=10) #, transformati
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from pyFTS.benchmarks import benchmarks as bchmk, Util as bUtil, Measures, knn, quantreg, arima, naive
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from pyFTS.benchmarks import benchmarks as bchmk, Util as bUtil, Measures, knn, quantreg, arima, naive
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from pyFTS.models import pwfts, song, ifts
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from pyFTS.models import pwfts, song, ifts, hofts
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from pyFTS.models.ensemble import ensemble
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from pyFTS.models.ensemble import ensemble
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'''
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'''
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@ -39,33 +39,33 @@ print(Measures.get_distribution_statistics(dataset[800:1000], model))
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#for tmp2 in tmp:
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#for tmp2 in tmp:
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# print(tmp2)
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# print(tmp2)
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#'''
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#'''
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#'''
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'''
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bchmk.sliding_window_benchmarks(dataset, 1000, train=0.8, inc=0.2,
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bchmk.sliding_window_benchmarks(dataset, 1000, train=0.8, inc=0.2,
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methods=[pwfts.ProbabilisticWeightedFTS],
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methods=[hofts.HighOrderFTS], #[pwfts.ProbabilisticWeightedFTS],
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benchmark_models=False,
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benchmark_models=False,
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transformations=[None],
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transformations=[None],
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orders=[1, 2, 3],
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orders=[1, 2, 3],
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partitions=np.arange(10, 90, 5),
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partitions=np.arange(30, 80, 5),
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progress=False, type="point",
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progress=False, type="point",
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#steps_ahead=[1,2,4,6,8,10],
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#steps_ahead=[1,2,4,6,8,10],
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distributed=True, nodes=['192.168.0.110', '192.168.0.107', '192.168.0.106'],
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distributed=True, nodes=['192.168.0.110', '192.168.0.107', '192.168.0.106'],
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file="benchmarks.db", dataset="SP500", tag="partitioning")
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file="benchmarks.db", dataset="NASDAQ", tag="comparisons")
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bchmk.sliding_window_benchmarks(dataset, 1000, train=0.8, inc=0.2,
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bchmk.sliding_window_benchmarks(dataset, 1000, train=0.8, inc=0.2,
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methods=[pwfts.ProbabilisticWeightedFTS],
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methods=[hofts.HighOrderFTS], # [pwfts.ProbabilisticWeightedFTS],
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benchmark_models=False,
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benchmark_models=False,
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transformations=[tdiff],
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transformations=[tdiff],
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orders=[1, 2, 3],
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orders=[1, 2, 3],
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partitions=np.arange(3, 30, 2),
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partitions=np.arange(3, 25, 2),
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progress=False, type="point",
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progress=False, type="point",
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#steps_ahead=[1,2,4,6,8,10],
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#steps_ahead=[1,2,4,6,8,10],
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distributed=True, nodes=['192.168.0.110', '192.168.0.107', '192.168.0.106'],
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distributed=True, nodes=['192.168.0.110', '192.168.0.107', '192.168.0.106'],
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file="benchmarks.db", dataset="SP500", tag="partitioning")
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file="benchmarks.db", dataset="NASDAQ", tag="comparisons")
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#'''
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'''
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'''
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'''
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from pyFTS.partitioners import Grid, Util as pUtil
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from pyFTS.partitioners import Grid, Util as pUtil
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partitioner = Grid.GridPartitioner(data=dataset[:800], npart=10, transformation=tdiff)
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partitioner = Grid.GridPartitioner(data=dataset[:800], npart=10, transformation=tdiff)
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@ -78,16 +78,34 @@ print(Measures.get_distribution_statistics(dataset[800:1000], model, steps_ahead
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#for tmp2 in tmp:
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#for tmp2 in tmp:
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# print(tmp2)
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# print(tmp2)
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'''
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'''
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'''
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#'''
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types = ['point','interval','distribution']
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types = ['interval']#['point','interval','distribution']
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benchmark_methods=[[arima.ARIMA for k in range(8)] + [quantreg.QuantileRegression for k in range(4)]]
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'''
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benchmark_methods=[
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benchmark_methods=[
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[arima.ARIMA for k in range(4)] + [naive.Naive],
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[arima.ARIMA for k in range(4)] + [naive.Naive],
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[arima.ARIMA for k in range(8)] + [quantreg.QuantileRegression for k in range(4)],
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[arima.ARIMA for k in range(8)] + [quantreg.QuantileRegression for k in range(4)],
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[arima.ARIMA for k in range(4)] + [quantreg.QuantileRegression for k in range(2)]
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[arima.ARIMA for k in range(4)] + [quantreg.QuantileRegression for k in range(2)]
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+ [knn.KNearestNeighbors for k in range(3)]
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+ [knn.KNearestNeighbors for k in range(3)]
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]
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]'''
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benchmark_methods_parameters= [
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benchmark_methods_parameters= [
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[
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{'order': (1, 0, 0), 'alpha': .05},
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{'order': (1, 0, 0), 'alpha': .25},
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{'order': (1, 0, 1), 'alpha': .05},
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{'order': (1, 0, 1), 'alpha': .25},
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{'order': (2, 0, 1), 'alpha': .05},
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{'order': (2, 0, 1), 'alpha': .25},
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{'order': (2, 0, 2), 'alpha': .05},
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{'order': (2, 0, 2), 'alpha': .25},
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{'order': 1, 'alpha': .05},
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{'order': 1, 'alpha': .25},
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{'order': 2, 'alpha': .05},
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{'order': 2, 'alpha': .25}
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]
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]
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'''benchmark_methods_parameters= [
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[
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[
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{'order': (1, 0, 0)},
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{'order': (1, 0, 0)},
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{'order': (1, 0, 1)},
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{'order': (1, 0, 1)},
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@ -116,8 +134,8 @@ benchmark_methods_parameters= [
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{'order': 2, 'dist': True},
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{'order': 2, 'dist': True},
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{'order': 1}, {'order': 2}, {'order': 3},
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{'order': 1}, {'order': 2}, {'order': 3},
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]
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]
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]
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]'''
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dataset_name = "NASDAQ"
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dataset_name = "SP500"
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tag = "comparisons"
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tag = "comparisons"
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from pyFTS.benchmarks import arima, naive, quantreg
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from pyFTS.benchmarks import arima, naive, quantreg
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@ -147,7 +165,7 @@ for ct, type in enumerate(types):
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file="benchmarks.db", dataset=dataset_name, tag=tag)
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file="benchmarks.db", dataset=dataset_name, tag=tag)
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'''
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#'''
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'''
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'''
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dat = pd.read_csv('pwfts_taiex_partitioning.csv', sep=';')
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dat = pd.read_csv('pwfts_taiex_partitioning.csv', sep=';')
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print(bUtil.analytic_tabular_dataframe(dat))
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print(bUtil.analytic_tabular_dataframe(dat))
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